Breeders’ Cup Draw Analysis
The main protagonists at this year’s Breeders’ Cup World Championships gathered at the historic Pasadena Civic Auditorium to be dealt their gate for the biggest races of the season. Following a tech dominated performance from digital magician Trigg Watson, the draw got underway and the Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1) threw up the first piece of drama for the day with Crimson Advocate drawing the inside gate with his stakes winning stablemate No Nay Mets outside him in #2.
(Full fields with US Morning Line odds)
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1)
1. Crimson Advocate | George Weaver | John Velazquez | 4-1 |
2. No Nay Mets | George Weaver | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 4-1 |
3. Tiger Belle | Ado McGuinness | Cristian Demuro | 15-1 |
4. Big Evs | Michael Appleby | Tom Marquand | 3-1 |
5. Givemethebeatboys | Jessica Harrington | Shane Foley | 15-1 |
6. Starlust | Ralph Beckett | Frankie Dettori | 20-1 |
7. Shards | Kelsey Danner | Adam Beschizza | 15-1 |
8. Cherry Blossom | Aidan’O’Brien | Ryan Moore | 12-1 |
9. Amidst Waves | George Weaver | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
10. Valiant Force | Adrian Murray | William Buick | 12-1 |
11. Slider | John Sadler | Hector Berrios | 8-1 |
12. Committee of One | Steve Asmussen | Cristian Torres | 8-1 |
There will no doubt be some negotiation between George Weaver’s jockeys but they will also need to overcome #4 Big Evs – who has shown the some of the best gate speed of any European contender in the history of the race and is now perfectly placed to make use of it. Of the rest, Shards backers will be laughing with a cracking draw in #7 with two European raiders #6 Starlust and #8 Cherry Blossom either side – both of which he should be able to beat out and control the middle region to get good position.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)
1. Candied | Todd Pletcher | Luis Saez | 4-1 |
2. Jody’s Pride | Jorge Abreu | Flavien Prat | 15-1 |
3. Scalable | Todd Pletcher | Jose Ortiz | 20-1 |
4. Where’s My Ring | Val Brinkerhoff | Victor Espinoza | 30-1 |
5. Omaha Girl | Jorge Delgado | Umberto Rispoli | 30-1 |
6. Chatalas | Mark Glatt | Antonio Fresu | 8-1 |
7. Tamara | Richard Mandella | Mike Smith | 4-5 |
8. Esprit Enchante | Peter Miller | Juan Hernandez | 20-1 |
9. Brightwork | John Ortiz | Ricardo Santana Jr. | 12-1 |
10. Accommodate Eva | Dallas Stewart | John Velazquez | 30-1 |
11. Life Talk | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
12. Just F Y I | Bill Mott | Junior Alvarado | 8-1 |
13. Alys Beach | Tom Amoss | Tyler Gaffalione | 30-1 |
The shortest Morning Line favourite of the two days – Tamara (USA) – landed on her feet in the draw with #7 and will line up bang in the middle of the thirteen-runner field. The opposite could be said for the talking horse of the race, Candied (USA), who drew #1 and will have to avoid trouble in running from the rail while the daughter of Justify, Just F Y I (USA), will have to overcome a wide draw in #12.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1)
1. Buttercream Babe | Mike Maker | Luis Saez | 30-1 |
2. Flattery | Peter Eurton | Juan Hernandez | 20-1 |
3. Buchu | Phil Bauer | Martin Garcia | 6-1 |
4. Laulne | Phil D’Amato | Manny Franco | 15-1 |
5. Content | Aiden O’Brien | Ryan Moore | 15-1 |
6. Porta Fortuna | Donnacha O’Brien | Oisin Murphy | 5-1 |
7. Gala Brand | Bill Mott | Jose Ortiz | 12-1 |
8. Life’s an Audible | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 15-1 |
9. Carla’s Way | Simon Crisford | James Doyle | 6-1 |
10. Austere | Brendan Walsh | Tyler Gaffalione | 12-1 |
11. She Feels Pretty | Cherie DeVaux | John Velazquz | 4-1 |
12. Hard to Justify | Chad Brown | Flavien Prat | 6-1 |
13. Dreamfrye | O.J. Jauregui | Hector Berrios | 15-1 |
14. Les Pavots | Francis-Henri Graffard | Mickael Barzalona | 8-1 |
The European raiders will be happy with their placement in the race with Porta Fortuna taking up gate #6 and Carla’s Way (IRE) landing the #9 post. While Dreamfyre has been given a task to get her preferable run style from #13 – something which the rest of the field will have on notice as it could change the run of the race as a whole.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1)
1. The Wine Steward | Mike Maker | Luis Saez | 8-1 |
2. Prince of Monaco | Bob Baffert | Flavien Prat | 4-1 |
3. Wine Me Up | Bob Baffert | Ramon Vazquez | 15-1 |
4. Timberlake | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux | 4-1 |
5. Ecoro Neo | Hideyuki Mori | Yuga Kawada | 30-1 |
6. Locked | Todd Pletcher | Jose Ortiz | 7-2 |
7. Cuban Thunder | Adrian Murray | Tiago Pereira | 30-1 |
8. General Partner | Chad Brown | Manny Franco | 8-1 |
9. Fierceness | Todd Pletcher | John Velazquez | 6-1 |
10. Muth | Bob Baffert | Juan Hernandez | 4-1 |
11. Noted | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
The unbeaten Prince Of Monaco landed a neutral spot in #2 – which is neither positive or negative as he took the Del Mar Futurity (G1) running the shortest way around the track but now risks some trouble in running unless he gets out nicely. Muth was drawn out wide in #10, which will give the Bob Baffert trainee options, while Timberlake in #4 and Locked in #6 have come out smelling of roses.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1)
1. Air Recruit | Arnaud Delacour | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
2. River Tiber | Aidan O’Brien | Ryan Moore | 3-1 |
3. Tok Tok | Graham Motion | John Velazquez | 20-1 |
4. Can Group | Mark Casse | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
5. My Boy Prince | Mark Casse | Joel Rosario | 8-1 |
6. Stay Hot | Peter Eurton | Antonio Fresu | 20-1 |
7. Agate Road | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 8-1 |
8. Unquestionable | Aidan O’Brien | Frankie Dettori | 4-1 |
9. Endlessly | Michael McCarthy | Juan Hernandez | 5-1 |
10. Fulmineo | Arnaud Delacour | Tyler Gaffalione | 20-1 |
11. Liam’s Journey | Mike Maker | Manny Franco | 30-1 |
12. Mountain Bear | Aidan O’Brien | Dylan McMongale | 12-1 |
13. Grand Mo The First | Victor Barboza | Hector Berrios | 20-1 |
14. Carson’s Run | Christophe Clement | Dylan Davis | 6-1 |
Carson’s Run is stuck out in the car park in #14 but shouldn’t be as disadvantaged as you would think with his ability to take back though his prep win in the Summer (G1) came from gate 2. River Tiber has enough tactical speed to negate any negatives of being drawn in #2, but if there is a winner of this draw #8 Unquestionable will be a lot happier than stablemate #12 Mountain Bear and is better set to land master trainer Aidan O’Brien a record sixth win in the race.
Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1)
1. Stage Raider | Cherie DeVaux | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 15-1 |
2. Practical Move | Tim Yakteen | Ramon Vazquez | SCRATCHED |
3. Cody’s Wish | Bill Mott | Junior Alvarado | 9-5 |
4. Zozos | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux | 6-1 |
5. Charge It | Todd Pletcher | John Velazquez | 5-1 |
6. Skippylongstocking | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Tyler Gaffalione | 12-1 |
7. Algiers | Simon Crisford | James Doyle | SCRATCHED |
8. Shirl’s Bee | Dallas Stewart | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
9. National Treasure | Bob Baffert | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
The post position #3 has changed nothing in this penalty kick for Cody’s Wish, who no longer has to contend with #7 Algiers after the Crisford trainee was scratched this morning due to inflammation in a leg.
Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf (G1)
1. In Italian | Chad Brown | Joel Rosario | 4-1 |
2. Warm Heart | Aidan O’Brien | Ryan Moore | 3-1 |
3. With The Moonlight | Charlie Appleby | William Buick | 20-1 |
4. Moira | Kevin Attard | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
5. Win Marilyn | Takahisa Tezuka | Cristian Demuro | 20-1 |
6. Inspiral | John and Thady Gosden | Frankie Dettori | 5-2 |
7. Lindy | Brendan Walsh | Tyler Gaffalione | 12-1 |
8. Fev Rover | Mark Casse | Javier Castellano | 8-1 |
9. Didia | Ignacio Correas | Vincent Cheminaud | 8-1 |
10. McKulick | Chad Brown | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 15-1 |
11. Lumiere Rock | Joseph O’Brien | Dylan McMonagle | 12-1 |
12. State Occasion | Ralph Beckett | Rossa Ryan | 20-1 |
#11 Lumiere Rock and #12 State Occasion will be weighing up their options with a wide draw which could disadvantage them given the initial turn while In Italian will be pleased to have a great opportunity to bag the rail and set the pace from #1 as will Inspiral enjoy a stalking run from #6.
Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint (G1)
1. Goodnight Olive | Chad Brown | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 6-5 |
2. Clearly Unhinged | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli | 12-1 |
3. Eda | Bob Baffert | Juan Hernandez | 10-1 |
4. Matareya | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 6-1 |
5. Kirstenbosch | John Sadler | Hector Berrios | 10-1 |
6. Meikei Yell | Hidenori Take | Kenichi Ikezoe | 15-1 |
7. Society | Steve Asmussen | Tyler Gaffalione | 5-2 |
8. Three Witches | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Luis Saez | 30-1 |
9. Yuugiri | Rodolphe Brisset | Ricardo Santana Jr. | 8-1 |
The smaller field will lighten the burden of the #1 spot for short priced favourite Goodnight Olive, while Matareya lands a good spot in #4.
Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1)
1. Shirl’s Speight | Roger Attfield | John Velazquez | 30-1 |
2. Gina Romantica | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione | 12-1 |
3. Casa Creed | Bill Mott | Luis Saez | 8-1 |
4. Win Carnelian | Yuichi Shinto | Kosei Miura | 30-1 |
5. Lucky Score | Mark Casse | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 30-1 |
6. Mawj | Saeed bin Suroor | Oisin Murphy | 4-1 |
7. Masteroffoxhounds | Phil D’Amato | Edwin Maldonado | 30-1 |
8. Du Jour | Bob Baffert | Flavien Prat | 15-1 |
9. Astronomer | Simon Callaghan | Ryan Moore | 20-1 |
10. Songline | Toru Hayashi | Keita Tosaki | 5-2 |
11. Kelina | Carlos Laffon-Paria | Maxime Guyon | 6-1 |
12. Exaulted | Peter Eurton | Juan Hernandez | 20-1 |
13. More Than Looks | Cherie DeVaux | Joel Rosario | 15-1 |
14. Master of the Seas | Charlie Appleby | William Buick | 7-2 |
Master Of The Seas finds himself on the opposite end of the stalls following his rail spot last time out, drawing the car park #14. No doubt disadvantaged, though his turn of foot will soften the blow and connections will have mixed emotions in wanting a pace on for him to run at with fellow Godolphin raider Mawj likely running prominently from gate #6. Songline’s connections will also be happy with the #10 spot.
Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1)
1. Hoosier Philly | Tom Amoss | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
2. A Mo Reay | Brad Cox | Christophe Lemaire | 20-1 |
3. Pretty Mischievous | Brendan Walsh | Tyler Gaffalione | 8-1 |
4. Idiomatic | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux | 5-2 |
5. Adare Manor | Bob Baffert | Juan Hernandez | 4-1 |
6. Search Results | Chad Brown | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 5-1 |
7. Wet Paint | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 10-1 |
8. Randomized | Chad Brown | Jose Ortiz | 6-1 |
9. Clairiere | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 4-1 |
10. Desert Dawn | Phil D’Amato | Hector Berrios | 20-1 |
11. Le Da Vida | Ignacio Correas | Vincent Cheminaud | 20-1 |
The playing field was somewhat levelled with the draw that sees pace angles Adare Manor and Randomized drawn in #5 and #8 respectively, outside of favourite Idiomatic in #4. This positioning may cause some carnage for the favourite if she doesn’t get a clean break.
Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1)
1. Arcangelo | Jena Antonucci | Javier Castellano | SCRATCHED |
2. Zandon | Chad Brown | Frankie Dettori | 12-1 |
3. White Abarrio | Rick Dutrow Jr. | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 4-1 |
4. Missed The Cut | John Sadler | Luis Saez | 30-1 |
5. Derma Sotogake | Hidetaka Otonashi | Christophe Lemaire | 20-1 |
6. Saudi Crown | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux | 12-1 |
7. Clapton | Chad Summers | Tyler Gaffalione | 20-1 |
8. Ushba Tesoro | Noboru Takagi | Yuga Kawada | 4-1 |
9. Senor Buscador | Todd Fincher | Geovanni Franco | 30-1 |
10. Dreamlike | Todd Pletcher | Jose Ortiz | 30-1 |
11. Bright Future | Todd Pletcher | John Velazquez | 10-1 |
Pace horses #6 Saudi Crown and #12 Arabian Knight will prove a problem outside White Abarrio, draw in stall #3, while Proxy has also landed a tough draw in #13. White Abarrio is well placed to navigate the trickier draw, however, with fearless jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. on board.